The Science of
Superstrategy

Superstrategy is the convergence of the science of elite forecasting with strategy.

The science of elite forecasting requires the disciplined production of judgements about future events under uncertainty, using evidence, base rates, decomposition, and feedback – empirically shown to outperform expert judgement, intuition, and traditional analysis in accuracy.  Strategy is the allocation and orchestration of means through chosen ways to achieve defined ends, conditional on explicit judgements about an uncertain and evolving environment. Recent history has applied the science of elite forecasting indirectly to strategy formulation. Superstrategy is its direct integration.