Elicitation – Specificity: Your Brain's Superpower
We begin by clarifying your goals — strengthening your leadership’s thinking. Structured elicitation reduces ambiguity and enhances decision-making.
Step 1: Define your outcome.
Step 2: Identify the key factors & success signals.
Step 3: Set your timeline.
Sources: Shapira (2019), Hetherington & Dear (2016), Dear (2019)
Aggregation – Harmonising Diverse Perspectives
At Cassi, we apply insights from Tetlock’s Superforecasting: the median forecast often outperforms individuals.
We merge internal, external, and AI-identified forecasts into a dynamic analysis of your success probabilities.
Ask “what if?” to refine strategy in real time, always informed by the latest data.
Divination – AI-Augmented Insight
Our AI doesn’t just crunch numbers—it generates new questions and forecasts, spotlighting your highest-leverage actions.
Superforecasting Victory
At Fujitsu, our AI-driven forecasting outscored competitors dramatically. In Q4’s Metaculus AIB Tournament, our model matched superforecaster levels.